HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 17:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 17:00 UK
HJK Helsinki 40Draw 28Motherwell 32
The call
68%
HJK Helsinki or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

HJK Helsinki and Motherwell drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured HJK Helsinki at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. HJK Helsinki had 6 shots (5 on target) to Motherwell's 5 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%.

HJK HelsinkiFull-time statsMotherwell
52%Possession48%
6Shots5
5Shots on target2
5Corners3
14Fouls11
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultHJK Helsinki 40%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callHJK Helsinki or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
HJK Helsinki to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Motherwell to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?

HJK Helsinki and Motherwell drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured HJK Helsinki at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. HJK Helsinki had 6 shots (5 on target) to Motherwell's 5 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%.

What was the final score in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?

HJK Helsinki 1–1 Motherwell, played on 06 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with HJK Helsinki 40%, the draw 28% and Motherwell 32%.

What were the stats in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Shots 6–5, Shots on target 5–2, Corners 5–3, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?

Yes — both HJK Helsinki and Motherwell scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said HJK Helsinki 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said HJK Helsinki or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
HJK Helsinki
Next up
13 AugAMotherwell0–2 L
All fixtures & results →HJK Helsinki form →Motherwell form →