Hajduk Split vs Raków Czestochowa prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 20:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 20:00 UK
Hajduk Split 46Draw 25Raków Czestochowa 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
Hajduk Split or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Hajduk Split and Raków Czestochowa drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Hajduk Split at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Hajduk Split had 13 shots (2 on target) to Raków Czestochowa's 12 (6), with 45% of the ball against 55%.

Hajduk SplitFull-time statsRaków…
45%Possession55%
13Shots12
2Shots on target6
7Corners5
13Fouls9
2Offsides1
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHajduk Split or draw 72%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score58%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Hajduk SplitRaków Czestochowa
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Hajduk Split to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Raków Czestochowa to score72%
Under 3.5 goals66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Raków Czestochowa in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Hajduk Split vs Raków Czestochowa?

Hajduk Split and Raków Czestochowa drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Hajduk Split at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Hajduk Split had 13 shots (2 on target) to Raków Czestochowa's 12 (6), with 45% of the ball against 55%.

What was the final score in Hajduk Split vs Raków Czestochowa?

Hajduk Split 2–2 Raków Czestochowa, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hajduk Split 46%, the draw 25% and Raków Czestochowa 28%.

What were the stats in Hajduk Split vs Raków Czestochowa?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 2–6, Corners 7–5, Fouls 13–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Hajduk Split vs Raków Czestochowa?

Yes — both Hajduk Split and Raków Czestochowa scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Hajduk Split vs Raków Czestochowa right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hajduk Split or draw 72%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Raków Czestochowa
Before this
13 AugAHammarby IF1–0 W
Next up
27 AugHHajduk Split2–3 L
All fixtures & results →Hajduk Split form →Raków Czestochowa form →