What we expect
In plain English
Amed SFK should get at least a draw here. They have won four of their last six, and the model expects them to create about a goal more per game than Genclerbirligi. Expect goals: the model sees around three.
What would change the call
Amed SFK or draw, priced again from the same expected goals if the match reaches these states.
Each row is the call re-priced for that scoreline at half-time. Lineups are not in it — we publish per-player shooting rates, not a squad-strength number, so what a rested front three does to this figure is not something we can honestly put a number on.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?
Bawler's model rates this match: Amed SFK are favoured (58% win probability vs 21% for Genclerbirligi, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Genclerbirligi 1-2 Amed SFK (9.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.37.
How does Bawler predict Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Genclerbirligi 21%, the draw 22% and Amed SFK 58%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?
BTTS: Yes (62% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.23 and away expected goals 2.15.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.37. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).