FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Genclerbirligi 2–2 Amed SFKMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Amed SFK or draw at 79%. Bawler had Genclerbirligi at 21%, the draw at 22% and Amed SFK at 57%. The match finished 2–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Genclerbirligi win
21%
Draw
22%
Result
Amed SFK win
57%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 2.1
Total 3.4
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.6 against our forecast)
The match produced 0.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 85%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 22%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.