Three forecasts on this match
Every market the model rates
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
Bawler's model rates this match: Fleetwood Town are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Shrewsbury Town, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Fleetwood Town 1-1 Shrewsbury Town (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.
How does Bawler predict Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Fleetwood Town 40%, the draw 28% and Shrewsbury Town 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).