FC Sion vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:15 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:15 UK
FC Sion 35Draw 26Ajax Amsterdam 39
Our call before kickoff
65%
Ajax Amsterdam or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–4
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 4–2. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. FC Sion had 12 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 23 (8), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 3.5.

FC SionFull-time statsAjax…
38%Possession62%
1.7Expected goals (xG)3.5
12Shots23
4Shots on target8
8Shots inside box14
1Big chances3
5Corners7
4Saves3
7Fouls10
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAjax Amsterdam or draw 65%Ajax Amsterdam won (39% called)
Total goals2.96
Both teams to score59%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC SionAjax Amsterdam
1.4
Goals+0.1
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals79%
Ajax Amsterdam to score78%
FC Sion to score76%
Under 3.5 goals66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.1 / match
Ajax Amsterdam in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Sion vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 4–2. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. FC Sion had 12 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 23 (8), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 3.5.

What was the final score in FC Sion vs Ajax Amsterdam?

FC Sion 2–4 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Sion 35%, the draw 26% and Ajax Amsterdam 39%.

What were the stats in FC Sion vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–3.5, Shots 12–23, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 8–14, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in FC Sion vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Yes — both FC Sion and Ajax Amsterdam scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Sion vs Ajax Amsterdam right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ajax Amsterdam or draw 65%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →FC Sion form →Ajax Amsterdam form →