Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 4–2. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. FC Sion had 12 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 23 (8), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 3.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 4–2. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. FC Sion had 12 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 23 (8), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 3.5.
FC Sion 2–4 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Sion 35%, the draw 26% and Ajax Amsterdam 39%.
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–3.5, Shots 12–23, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 8–14, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
Yes — both FC Sion and Ajax Amsterdam scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ajax Amsterdam or draw 65%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.