FC Midtjylland vs Rijeka prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK
FC Midtjylland 65Draw 22Rijeka 14
Our call before kickoff
65%
FC Midtjylland to win
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

FC Midtjylland beat Rijeka 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Midtjylland in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Midtjylland had 18 shots (10 on target) to Rijeka's 9 (1), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.

MidtjyllandFull-time statsRijeka
60%Possession40%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.3
18Shots9
10Shots on target1
15Shots inside box6
5Big chances0
5Corners4
1Saves8
17Fouls19
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Midtjylland to win 65%FC Midtjylland won (65% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score49%No
Graded pickFC Midtjylland or draw 86%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC MidtjyllandRijeka
2.0
Goals+1.2
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
FC Midtjylland to score87%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals68%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.2 / match
Rijeka in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Midtjylland vs Rijeka?

FC Midtjylland beat Rijeka 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Midtjylland in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Midtjylland had 18 shots (10 on target) to Rijeka's 9 (1), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.

What was the final score in FC Midtjylland vs Rijeka?

FC Midtjylland 2–0 Rijeka, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Midtjylland 65%, the draw 22% and Rijeka 14%.

What were the stats in FC Midtjylland vs Rijeka?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.3, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 10–1, Shots inside box 15–6, Big chances 5–0, Corners 5–4, Saves 1–8, Fouls 17–19, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Rijeka?

No. It finished 2–0, so Rijeka failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Rijeka right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Midtjylland to win 65%, it finished FC Midtjylland won (65% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said FC Midtjylland or draw 86%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →FC Midtjylland form →Rijeka form →