How it finished
FC Lugano beat Maccabi Tel-Aviv 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Lugano in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. FC Lugano had 11 shots (2 on target) to Maccabi Tel-Aviv's 11 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?
FC Lugano beat Maccabi Tel-Aviv 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Lugano in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. FC Lugano had 11 shots (2 on target) to Maccabi Tel-Aviv's 11 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.
What was the final score in FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?
FC Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel-Aviv, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Lugano 51%, the draw 25% and Maccabi Tel-Aviv 24%.
What were the stats in FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.0, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 0–4, Saves 0–0, Fouls 17–15, Offsides 2–0.
Did both teams score in FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?
Yes — both FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel-Aviv scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Lugano or draw 76%, it finished FC Lugano won (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.