FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 9 Aug · 13:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 9 Aug · 13:30 UK
FC Groningen 55Draw 27FC Utrecht 18
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

FC Groningen beat FC Utrecht 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Groningen in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. FC Groningen had 16 shots (5 on target) to FC Utrecht's 14 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.3, so FC Utrecht created the better chances and still lost the game.

FC GroningenFull-time statsFC Utrecht
59%Possession41%
1.5Expected goals (xG)2.3
16Shots14
5Shots on target7
10Shots inside box12
2Big chances5
5Corners1
6Saves3
12Fouls17
1Offsides4
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Groningen 55%FC Groningen (55% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score56%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callBTTS Yes 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
FC Groningen to score86%
Over 1.5 goals80%
FC Utrecht to score65%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.9 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who won FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht?

FC Groningen beat FC Utrecht 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Groningen in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. FC Groningen had 16 shots (5 on target) to FC Utrecht's 14 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.3, so FC Utrecht created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht?

FC Groningen 2–1 FC Utrecht, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Groningen 55%, the draw 27% and FC Utrecht 18%.

What were the stats in FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.3, Shots 16–14, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 10–12, Big chances 2–5, Corners 5–1, Saves 6–3, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht?

Yes — both FC Groningen and FC Utrecht scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Groningen 55%, it finished FC Groningen (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS Yes 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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