Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelIstanbul Basaksehir on top, and Ivan Brnić getting plenty of shots away.
Eyupspor v Istanbul Basaksehir prediction
Istanbul Basaksehir are favourites on our numbers: 56% to win, against 20% for Eyupspor and 24% for a draw. Our predicted score is Eyupspor 1–2 Istanbul Basaksehir, the likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win score (10%). Our expected goals are 1.1 for Eyupspor and 1.9 for Istanbul Basaksehir, 3.0 in all. Both sides are more likely than not to score (56%) and three or more goals is 57%.
In their last six games Eyupspor have no wins, no draws and six defeats, while Istanbul Basaksehir have four wins, one draw and one defeat. Eyupspor lost their most recent match and Istanbul Basaksehir won theirs. Ivan Brnić (Istanbul Basaksehir) is the player we expect to shoot most, with 2.7 shots if they start. Eldor Shomurodov (Istanbul Basaksehir) leads for shots on target, at 1.0. Anıl Yaşar of Eyupspor is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27.
We expect Eyupspor to have 11.9 shots (4.0 on target) and Istanbul Basaksehir 16.0 (5.3 on target), and corners at 4.1 to 5.4. That points to Istanbul Basaksehir doing more of the attacking. Bawler's pick combines Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw, Istanbul Basaksehir Over 11.5 Shots and Ivan Brnić 2+ Shots. We make the chance of all three coming in 49%, a fair price of Evens (2.02).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Eyupspor · last 6
Istanbul Basaksehir · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw is 80% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Süper Lig table →Common questions
Who will win Eyupspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
Bawler's model rates this match: Istanbul Basaksehir are favoured (56% win probability vs 20% for Eyupspor, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Eyupspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
Bawler's predicted score is Eyupspor 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir: the most likely score if Istanbul Basaksehir win, which is the likeliest result (56%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.8%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Eyupspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Eyupspor 20%, the draw 24% and Istanbul Basaksehir 56%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Eyupspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 56% chance. That is based on Eyupspor expecting 1.07 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir 1.89.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Eyupspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 57%.
When are the Eyupspor v Istanbul Basaksehir line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Eyupspor v Istanbul Basaksehir?
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw (80%), Istanbul Basaksehir Over 11.5 Shots (81%), Ivan Brnić 2+ Shots (70%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 49% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.02). 18+, please gamble responsibly.