Czechia vs Croatia prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sept · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sept · 19:45 UK
33Czechia win25Draw42Croatia win
Our call before kickoff
67%
Croatia or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Croatia beat Czechia 2–1. Bawler's model had Croatia in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Czechia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Croatia's 16 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%.

CzechiaFull-time statsCroatia
44%Possession56%
5Shots16
2Shots on target5
1Corners6
4Saves1
6Fouls9
6Offsides0
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCroatia or draw 67%Croatia won (42% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score62%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals81%
Croatia to score81%
Czechia to score76%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer63%
Both teams score62%
3 or more goals60%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

CzechiaCzechiaCroatiaCroatia
1.4Goals1.6
CzechiaCzechiaCroatiaCroatia
0.6Goals0.7
CzechiaCzechiaCroatiaCroatia
0.8Goals0.9

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Czechia
47%
to score before half-time
Croatia
52%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Oct 2025Czechia 0–0 Croatia
Jun 2025Croatia 5–1 Czechia
Jun 2021Croatia 1–1 Czechia
Jun 2016Czechia 2–2 Croatia
Feb 2011Croatia 4–2 Czechia
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Czechia vs Croatia?

Croatia beat Czechia 2–1. Bawler's model had Croatia in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Czechia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Croatia's 16 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%.

What was the final score in Czechia vs Croatia?

Czechia 1–2 Croatia, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Czechia 33%, the draw 25% and Croatia 42%.

What were the stats in Czechia vs Croatia?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Shots 5–16, Shots on target 2–5, Corners 1–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 6–9, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Czechia vs Croatia?

Yes — both Czechia and Croatia scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Czechia vs Croatia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Croatia or draw 67%, it finished Croatia won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Czechia form →Croatia form →