CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 18:30 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 18:30 UK
CSKA 1948 Sofia 40Draw 28Panathinaikos 32
The call
68%
CSKA 1948 Sofia or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Panathinaikos beat CSKA 1948 Sofia 2–1. Bawler's model favoured CSKA 1948 Sofia at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Panathinaikos 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. CSKA 1948 Sofia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Panathinaikos' 21 (11), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.3.

CSKA 1948…Full-time statsPanathinaikos
50%Possession50%
1.0Expected goals (xG)1.3
14Shots21
5Shots on target11
9Shots inside box12
3Big chances4
3Corners6
9Saves4
13Fouls13
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCSKA 1948 Sofia 40%Panathinaikos (32% called)
Total goals2.53
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callCSKA 1948 Sofia or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
CSKA 1948 Sofia to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Panathinaikos to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos?

Panathinaikos beat CSKA 1948 Sofia 2–1. Bawler's model favoured CSKA 1948 Sofia at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Panathinaikos 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. CSKA 1948 Sofia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Panathinaikos' 21 (11), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.3.

What was the final score in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1–2 Panathinaikos, played on 11 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with CSKA 1948 Sofia 40%, the draw 28% and Panathinaikos 32%.

What were the stats in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.3, Shots 14–21, Shots on target 5–11, Shots inside box 9–12, Big chances 3–4, Corners 3–6, Saves 9–4, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos?

Yes — both CSKA 1948 Sofia and Panathinaikos scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said CSKA 1948 Sofia 40%, it finished Panathinaikos (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said CSKA 1948 Sofia or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

CSKA 1948 Sofia
Before this
5 AugAPanathinaikos1–1 D
All fixtures & results →CSKA 1948 Sofia form →Panathinaikos form →