Southampton beat Colchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Colchester United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Southampton 32%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Colchester United had 12 shots (5 on target) to Southampton's 24 (5), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Southampton beat Colchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Colchester United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Southampton 32%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Colchester United had 12 shots (5 on target) to Southampton's 24 (5), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.9.
Colchester United 0–2 Southampton, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colchester United 40%, the draw 28% and Southampton 32%.
Full-time: Possession 26%–74%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–2.9, Shots 12–24, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–16, Big chances 2–4, Corners 1–5, Saves 3–5, Fouls 14–5, Offsides 0–0.
No. It finished 0–2, so Colchester United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Colchester United 40%, it finished Southampton (32% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Colchester United or Draw 68%, it finished Missed.