Colchester United vs Southampton prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 17:30 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 17:30 UK
Colchester United 40Draw 28Southampton 32
The call
68%
Colchester United or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Southampton beat Colchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Colchester United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Southampton 32%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Colchester United had 12 shots (5 on target) to Southampton's 24 (5), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.9.

Colchester…Full-time statsSouthampton
26%Possession74%
0.9Expected goals (xG)2.9
12Shots24
5Shots on target5
11Shots inside box16
2Big chances4
1Corners5
3Saves5
14Fouls5
0Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultColchester United 40%Southampton (32% called)
Total goals3.52
Both teams to score50%No
Model callColchester United or Draw 68%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Colchester United to score84%
Southampton to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Colchester United vs Southampton?

Southampton beat Colchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Colchester United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Southampton 32%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Colchester United had 12 shots (5 on target) to Southampton's 24 (5), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.9.

What was the final score in Colchester United vs Southampton?

Colchester United 0–2 Southampton, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colchester United 40%, the draw 28% and Southampton 32%.

What were the stats in Colchester United vs Southampton?

Full-time: Possession 26%–74%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–2.9, Shots 12–24, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–16, Big chances 2–4, Corners 1–5, Saves 3–5, Fouls 14–5, Offsides 0–0.

Did both teams score in Colchester United vs Southampton?

No. It finished 0–2, so Colchester United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colchester United vs Southampton right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Colchester United 40%, it finished Southampton (32% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Colchester United or Draw 68%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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Colchester United
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