China vs Tajikistan prediction — International friendlies · Tue 6 Oct · 12:35 UK

International friendlies · Tue 6 Oct · 12:35 UK
40China win28Draw32Tajikistan win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Tajikistan beat China 1–0. China had 4 shots (3 on target) to Tajikistan's 10 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.9.

ChinaFull-time statsTajikistan
30%Possession70%
0.2Expected goals (xG)1.9
4Shots10
3Shots on target4
3Shots inside box5
0Big chances2
3Corners3
3Saves3
11Fouls13
4Offsides1
4Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if China win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.2
2.6 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
49%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

ChinaChinaTajikistanTajikistan
1.4Goals1.2
ChinaChinaTajikistanTajikistan
0.6Goals0.5
ChinaChinaTajikistanTajikistan
0.8Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

China to score75%
2 or more goals74%
3 goals or fewer73%
Tajikistan to score71%
Goal before half-time69%

First half — what we expected

China
46%
to score before half-time
Tajikistan
42%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jan 2024China 0–0 Tajikistan
Jun 2019China 1–0 Tajikistan
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →China form →Tajikistan form →

Common questions

Who won China vs Tajikistan?

Tajikistan beat China 1–0. China had 4 shots (3 on target) to Tajikistan's 10 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.9.

What was the final score in China vs Tajikistan?

China 0–1 Tajikistan, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with China 40%, the draw 28% and Tajikistan 32%.

What were the stats in China vs Tajikistan?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.9, Shots 4–10, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 3–5, Big chances 0–2, Corners 3–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 4–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in China vs Tajikistan?

No. It finished 0–1, so China failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.