Before kickoff our call was China or draw at 68%. Bawler had China at 40%, the draw at 28% and Tajikistan at 32%. The match finished 0–1.
The match produced 1.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.