Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 17:30 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 17:30 UK
Cheltenham Town 40Draw 28Charlton Athletic 32
The call
68%
Cheltenham Town or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3

How it finished

Charlton Athletic beat Cheltenham Town 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Cheltenham Town at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlton Athletic 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Cheltenham Town had 7 shots (2 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 17 (9), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

Cheltenham…Full-time statsCharlton…
46%Possession54%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.0
7Shots17
2Shots on target9
4Shots inside box12
1Big chances2
2Corners3
6Saves1
11Fouls8
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCheltenham Town 40%Charlton Athletic (32% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callCheltenham Town or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Cheltenham Town to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Charlton Athletic to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Charlton Athletic beat Cheltenham Town 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Cheltenham Town at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlton Athletic 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Cheltenham Town had 7 shots (2 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 17 (9), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Cheltenham Town 1–3 Charlton Athletic, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cheltenham Town 40%, the draw 28% and Charlton Athletic 32%.

What were the stats in Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.0, Shots 7–17, Shots on target 2–9, Shots inside box 4–12, Big chances 1–2, Corners 2–3, Saves 6–1, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Yes — both Cheltenham Town and Charlton Athletic scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Cheltenham Town 40%, it finished Charlton Athletic (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Cheltenham Town or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
Cheltenham Town
All fixtures & results →Cheltenham Town form →Charlton Athletic form →