Cardiff City vs Swindon Town prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Cardiff City 40Draw 28Swindon Town 32
The call
68%
Cardiff City or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

Cardiff City beat Swindon Town 3–2. Bawler's model had Cardiff City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Cardiff City had 15 shots (4 on target) to Swindon Town's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.2.

Cardiff CityFull-time statsSwindon Town
61%Possession39%
2.2Expected goals (xG)1.2
15Shots12
4Shots on target1
13Shots inside box7
4Big chances3
6Corners3
0Saves2
8Fouls17
3Offsides3
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCardiff City 40%Cardiff City (40% called)
Total goals3.55
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callCardiff City or Draw 68%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Cardiff City to score84%
Swindon Town to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cardiff City vs Swindon Town?

Cardiff City beat Swindon Town 3–2. Bawler's model had Cardiff City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Cardiff City had 15 shots (4 on target) to Swindon Town's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Swindon Town?

Cardiff City 3–2 Swindon Town, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 40%, the draw 28% and Swindon Town 32%.

What were the stats in Cardiff City vs Swindon Town?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.2, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 4–3, Corners 6–3, Saves 0–2, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 1–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Cardiff City vs Swindon Town?

Yes — both Cardiff City and Swindon Town scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cardiff City vs Swindon Town right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Cardiff City 40%, it finished Cardiff City (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Cardiff City or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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