Canada vs Peru prediction — International friendlies · Sat 3 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sat 3 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue
70Canada win21Draw9Peru win
Full time
2–0

How it finished

Canada beat Peru 2–0. Canada had 17 shots (3 on target) to Peru's 4 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.

CanadaFull-time statsPeru
61%Possession39%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.2
17Shots4
3Shots on target0
12Shots inside box2
4Big chances0
6Corners5
0Saves1
27Fouls13
1Offsides3
1Yellow cards1
We expected
1–0
15% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
2.0v0.6
2.6 in total
Both teams score
38%
No
3+ goals
47%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

CanadaCanadaPeruPeru
2.0Goals0.6
CanadaCanadaPeruPeru
0.9Goals0.3
CanadaCanadaPeruPeru
1.1Goals0.3

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Canada to score86%
3 goals or fewer74%
2 or more goals72%
Goal before half-time68%

First half — what we expected

Canada
58%
to score before half-time
Peru
23%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2024Peru 0–1 Canada
Sept 2010Canada 0–2 Peru
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Canada form →Peru form →

Common questions

Who won Canada vs Peru?

Canada beat Peru 2–0. Canada had 17 shots (3 on target) to Peru's 4 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Canada vs Peru?

Canada 2–0 Peru, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Canada 70%, the draw 21% and Peru 9%.

What were the stats in Canada vs Peru?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.2, Shots 17–4, Shots on target 3–0, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 4–0, Corners 6–5, Saves 0–1, Fouls 27–13, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Canada vs Peru?

No. It finished 2–0, so Peru failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.