What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Canada vs Chile?
Bawler's model rates this match: Canada are favoured (53% win probability vs 22% for Chile, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Chile?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Canada 1-1 Chile (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.78.
How does Bawler predict Canada vs Chile?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Canada 53%, the draw 25% and Chile 22%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Canada vs Chile?
BTTS: Yes (53% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.75 and away expected goals 1.03.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Canada vs Chile?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.78. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).