Lincoln City beat Blackpool 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Blackpool at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Blackpool had 8 shots (3 on target) to Lincoln City's 14 (9), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Lincoln City beat Blackpool 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Blackpool at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Blackpool had 8 shots (3 on target) to Lincoln City's 14 (9), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.2.
Blackpool 1–4 Lincoln City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackpool 43%, the draw 26% and Lincoln City 31%.
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.2, Shots 8–14, Shots on target 3–9, Shots inside box 4–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 1–1, Saves 5–2, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–1, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Blackpool and Lincoln City scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Blackpool or draw 69%, it finished Lincoln City won (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.