Blackpool vs Lincoln City prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK
Blackpool 43Draw 26Lincoln City 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Blackpool or draw
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–4
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Lincoln City beat Blackpool 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Blackpool at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Blackpool had 8 shots (3 on target) to Lincoln City's 14 (9), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.2.

BlackpoolFull-time statsLincoln City
38%Possession62%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.2
8Shots14
3Shots on target9
4Shots inside box8
1Big chances3
1Corners1
5Saves2
12Fouls10
1Offsides1
4Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBlackpool or draw 69%Lincoln City won (31% called)
Total goals2.85
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BlackpoolLincoln City
1.5
Goals+0.3
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Blackpool to score79%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Lincoln City to score72%
Under 3.5 goals69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Lincoln City in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Blackpool vs Lincoln City?

Lincoln City beat Blackpool 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Blackpool at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Blackpool had 8 shots (3 on target) to Lincoln City's 14 (9), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Blackpool vs Lincoln City?

Blackpool 1–4 Lincoln City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackpool 43%, the draw 26% and Lincoln City 31%.

What were the stats in Blackpool vs Lincoln City?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.2, Shots 8–14, Shots on target 3–9, Shots inside box 4–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 1–1, Saves 5–2, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Blackpool vs Lincoln City?

Yes — both Blackpool and Lincoln City scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Blackpool vs Lincoln City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Blackpool or draw 69%, it finished Lincoln City won (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
Blackpool
All fixtures & results →Blackpool form →Lincoln City form →