How it finished
Azerbaijan beat Lithuania 1–0. Azerbaijan had 13 shots (7 on target) to Lithuania's 13 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?
Azerbaijan beat Lithuania 1–0. Azerbaijan had 13 shots (7 on target) to Lithuania's 13 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?
Azerbaijan 1–0 Lithuania, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Azerbaijan 32%, the draw 29% and Lithuania 39%.
What were the stats in Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.2, Shots 13–13, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?
No. It finished 1–0, so Lithuania failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.