Before kickoff our call was Lithuania or draw at 68%. Bawler had Azerbaijan at 32%, the draw at 29% and Lithuania at 39%. The match finished 1–0.
The match produced 1.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.