Andorra vs Malta prediction — UEFA Nations League · Thu 24 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Thu 24 Sept · 17:00 UK
Andorra 39Draw 27Malta 35
The call
65%
Andorra or draw
2.8
Goals expected
14d 07hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals77%
Andorra to score77%
Malta to score74%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W L L L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AND 0 · D 2 · MAL 2

Head to head

Nov 2024Malta 0–0 Andorra
Sept 2024Andorra 0–1 Malta
Nov 2020Malta 3–1 Andorra
Oct 2020Andorra 0–0 Malta
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Andorra vs Malta?

Bawler's model rates this match: Andorra are favoured (39% win probability vs 35% for Malta, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Andorra vs Malta?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Andorra 1-1 Malta (12.6% probability). Expected total goals: 2.82.

How does Bawler predict Andorra vs Malta?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Andorra 39%, the draw 27% and Malta 35%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Andorra vs Malta?

BTTS: Yes (57% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.45 and away expected goals 1.36.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Andorra vs Malta?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.82. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).