How it finished
Malta beat Andorra 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Andorra at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Malta 35%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Andorra had 13 shots (5 on target) to Malta's 13 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Andorra vs Malta?
Malta beat Andorra 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Andorra at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Malta 35%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Andorra had 13 shots (5 on target) to Malta's 13 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.2.
What was the final score in Andorra vs Malta?
Andorra 1–2 Malta, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Andorra 40%, the draw 26% and Malta 35%.
What were the stats in Andorra vs Malta?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–3.2, Shots 13–13, Shots on target 5–8, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 3–5, Corners 3–2, Saves 6–4, Fouls 24–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 5–2.
Did both teams score in Andorra vs Malta?
Yes — both Andorra and Malta scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Andorra vs Malta right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Andorra or draw 65%, it finished Malta won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.