Match prediction·BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League·Sunday 09 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
52.4% home28.9% draw18.7% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
AnderlechtstepRAAL La Louvière
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Anderlecht average 6.6 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). RAAL La Louviere average 3.9 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
RAAL La Louvière or draw
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Anderlecht and RAAL La Louvière — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Anderlecht 52% · draw 29% · RAAL La Louvière 19%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Anderlecht 21 RAAL La Louvière
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.