Anderlecht vs PAOK prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 19:30 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 19:30 UK
Anderlecht 40Draw 28PAOK 32
The call
68%
Anderlecht or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

Anderlecht beat PAOK 3–2. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 5. Anderlecht had 15 shots (9 on target) to PAOK's 13 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 2.1, so PAOK created the better chances and still lost the game.

AnderlechtFull-time statsPAOK
44%Possession56%
1.9Expected goals (xG)2.1
15Shots13
9Shots on target4
11Shots inside box10
2Big chances4
2Corners8
2Saves6
12Fouls8
2Offsides3
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAnderlecht 40%Anderlecht (40% called)
Total goals2.55
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callAnderlecht or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Anderlecht to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
PAOK to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Anderlecht vs PAOK?

Anderlecht beat PAOK 3–2. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 5. Anderlecht had 15 shots (9 on target) to PAOK's 13 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 2.1, so PAOK created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Anderlecht vs PAOK?

Anderlecht 3–2 PAOK, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Anderlecht 40%, the draw 28% and PAOK 32%.

What were the stats in Anderlecht vs PAOK?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–2.1, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 2–4, Corners 2–8, Saves 2–6, Fouls 12–8, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–2, Red cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Anderlecht vs PAOK?

Yes — both Anderlecht and PAOK scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Anderlecht vs PAOK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Anderlecht 40%, it finished Anderlecht (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Anderlecht or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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