How it finished
Al Shabab and Al Riyadh drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Al Shabab at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. Al Shabab had 25 shots (9 on target) to Al Riyadh's 12 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Al Shabab and Al Riyadh drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Al Shabab at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. Al Shabab had 25 shots (9 on target) to Al Riyadh's 12 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Al Shabab 3–3 Al Riyadh, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 52%, the draw 23% and Al Riyadh 25%.
What were the stats in Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.2, Shots 25–12, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 15–5, Big chances 5–3, Corners 10–4, Saves 1–6, Fouls 5–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Yes — both Al Shabab and Al Riyadh scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Shabab or draw 75%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Al Shabab to win 52%, it finished Missed.