Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Trezeguet and Amir Sayoud both getting shots away.
Al Riyadh v Al Hazem prediction
Our model only just leans towards Al Riyadh here: 40% to win, with Al Hazem on 34% and the draw on 26%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Al Riyadh 2–1 Al Hazem, the most likely Al Riyadh win (9%). Al Riyadh are expected to score 1.6 goals and Al Hazem 1.4, 3.0 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (61%) and three or more goals is 58%.
On form, Al Riyadh have two wins, two draws and two defeats from their last six games, and Al Hazem have no wins, two draws and four defeats. Of their last four meetings on our records, Al Riyadh have won none, Al Hazem two, and two were drawn. The last meeting ended Al Hazem 2–1 Al Riyadh, in Apr 2026.
We expect Al Riyadh to have 12.6 shots (4.1 on target) and Al Hazem 12.7 (4.3 on target), and corners at 5.1 to 4.4. Ahmed Al Shamrani of Al Hazem is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick for this game is Both Teams to Score, Over 20.5 Total Shots, Trezeguet 1+ Shot and Amir Sayoud 1+ Shot. Our model gives all four landing together a 47% chance, which makes the fair price 11/10 (2.14).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Al Riyadh · last 6
Al Hazem · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Al Riyadh or draw is 66% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Saudi Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?
Bawler's model rates this match: Al Riyadh are favoured (40% win probability vs 34% for Al Hazem, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?
Bawler's predicted score is Al Riyadh 2-1 Al Hazem: the most likely score if Al Riyadh win, which is the likeliest result (40%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.6%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Al Riyadh 40%, the draw 26% and Al Hazem 34%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 61% chance. That is based on Al Riyadh expecting 1.57 goals and Al Hazem 1.45.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 58%.
When are the Al Riyadh v Al Hazem line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Al Riyadh v Al Hazem?
Both Teams to Score (61%), Over 20.5 Total Shots (80%), Trezeguet 1+ Shot (89%), Amir Sayoud 1+ Shot (86%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 47% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.14). 18+, please gamble responsibly.