Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 28 Aug · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 28 Aug · 19:00 UK
Al Khaleej 13Draw 20Al Hilal 66
Our call before kickoff
66%
Al Hilal to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–5
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Al Hilal beat Al Khaleej 5–1. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 6. Al Khaleej had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Hilal's 23 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.9.

Al KhaleejFull-time statsAl Hilal
47%Possession53%
1.5Expected goals (xG)3.9
12Shots23
4Shots on target7
4Shots inside box17
3Big chances7
3Corners2
2Saves3
5Fouls7
3Offsides3
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Hilal to win 66%Al Hilal won (66% called)
Total goals3.16
Both teams to score52%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al KhaleejAl Hilal
0.9
Goals+1.3
2.2
6.3
Shots+9.0
15.2
2.2
On target+4.6
6.8
3.0
Corners+3.2
6.2
Al KhaleejAl Hilal
0.3
Goals+0.3
0.6
3.0
Shots+3.9
6.9
0.9
On target+1.9
2.8
1.4
Corners+1.5
2.9
Al KhaleejAl Hilal
0.5
Goals+1.0
1.6
3.3
Shots+5.1
8.4
1.3
On target+2.7
4.0
1.6
Corners+1.7
3.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Al Hilal to score89%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Al Khaleej
34%
to score before half-time
Al Hilal
61%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

Al KhaleejAl Hilal
3.01st-half shots6.9
0.91st-half shots on target2.8
1.41st-half corners2.9

First-half chances

12%Chance of 6+ shots62%
<10%Chance of 8+ shots38%
24%Chance of 2+ shots on target73%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target32%
39%Chance of 2+ corners74%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners34%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Khaleej3.03.3
Shots · Al Hilal6.98.4
Shots on target · Al Khaleej0.91.3
Shots on target · Al Hilal2.84.0
Corners · Al Khaleej1.41.6
Corners · Al Hilal2.93.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Khaleej 1 · Draws 0 · Al Hilal 4
Al Hilal in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2026Al Khaleej 1–2 Al Hilal
Dec 2025Al Hilal 3–2 Al Khaleej
Apr 2025Al Hilal 3–0 Al Khaleej
Nov 2024Al Khaleej 3–2 Al Hilal
Apr 2024Al Khaleej 1–4 Al Hilal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal?

Al Hilal beat Al Khaleej 5–1. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 6. Al Khaleej had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Hilal's 23 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.9.

What was the final score in Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal?

Al Khaleej 1–5 Al Hilal, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Khaleej 13%, the draw 20% and Al Hilal 66%.

What were the stats in Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–3.9, Shots 12–23, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 4–17, Big chances 3–7, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 5–7, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal?

Yes — both Al Khaleej and Al Hilal scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal to win 66%, it finished Al Hilal won (66% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Khaleej form →Al Hilal form →