Al Hilal beat Al Khaleej 5–1. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 6. Al Khaleej had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Hilal's 23 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Hilal beat Al Khaleej 5–1. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 6. Al Khaleej had 12 shots (4 on target) to Al Hilal's 23 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.9.
Al Khaleej 1–5 Al Hilal, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Khaleej 13%, the draw 20% and Al Hilal 66%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–3.9, Shots 12–23, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 4–17, Big chances 3–7, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 5–7, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Al Khaleej and Al Hilal scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal to win 66%, it finished Al Hilal won (66% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.