Al Nassr beat Al Ettifaq 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 5. Al Ettifaq had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Nassr's 14 (9), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Nassr beat Al Ettifaq 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 5. Al Ettifaq had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Nassr's 14 (9), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.0.
Al Ettifaq 2–3 Al Nassr, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Ettifaq 13%, the draw 19% and Al Nassr 68%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.0, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 5–9, Shots inside box 3–8, Big chances 1–5, Corners 2–6, Saves 6–3, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 5–6, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Al Ettifaq and Al Nassr scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Nassr to win 68%, it finished Al Nassr won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.