Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr prediction — Saudi Pro League · Tue 25 Aug · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Tue 25 Aug · 19:00 UK
Al Ettifaq 13Draw 19Al Nassr 68
Our call before kickoff
68%
Al Nassr to win
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
67%

How it finished

Al Nassr beat Al Ettifaq 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 5. Al Ettifaq had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Nassr's 14 (9), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.0.

Al EttifaqFull-time statsAl Nassr
60%Possession40%
0.7Expected goals (xG)2.0
14Shots14
5Shots on target9
3Shots inside box8
1Big chances5
2Corners6
6Saves3
11Fouls10
5Offsides6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Nassr to win 68%Al Nassr won (68% called)
Total goals3.45
Both teams to score58%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al EttifaqAl Nassr
1.0
Goals+1.4
2.4
6.7
Shots+14.3
21.0
2.5
On target+5.3
7.8
2.9
Corners+4.8
7.7
Al EttifaqAl Nassr
0.4
Goals+0.3
0.7
3.1
Shots+6.5
9.6
1.1
On target+2.4
3.5
1.4
Corners+2.3
3.6
Al EttifaqAl Nassr
0.6
Goals+1.1
1.8
3.6
Shots+7.8
11.4
1.4
On target+2.9
4.3
1.6
Corners+2.5
4.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Al Nassr to score91%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Al Ettifaq to score64%

First half — what we expected

Al Ettifaq
36%
to score before half-time
Al Nassr
66%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Al EttifaqAl Nassr
3.11st-half shots9.6
1.11st-half shots on target3.5
1.41st-half corners3.6

First-half chances

<10%Chance of 9+ shots57%
<10%Chance of 11+ shots37%
13%Chance of 3+ shots on target64%
<10%Chance of 5+ shots on target29%
18%Chance of 3+ corners65%
<10%Chance of 5+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Ettifaq3.13.6
Shots · Al Nassr9.611.4
Shots on target · Al Ettifaq1.11.4
Shots on target · Al Nassr3.54.3
Corners · Al Ettifaq1.41.6
Corners · Al Nassr3.64.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Ettifaq 1 · Draws 1 · Al Nassr 3
Al Nassr in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Al Nassr FC 1–0 Al-Ettifaq
Dec 2025Al-Ettifaq 2–2 Al Nassr FC
Feb 2025Al Nassr FC 2–3 Al-Ettifaq
Sept 2024Al-Ettifaq 0–3 Al Nassr FC
Dec 2023Al Nassr FC 3–1 Al-Ettifaq
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr beat Al Ettifaq 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 5. Al Ettifaq had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Nassr's 14 (9), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.0.

What was the final score in Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Al Ettifaq 2–3 Al Nassr, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Ettifaq 13%, the draw 19% and Al Nassr 68%.

What were the stats in Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.0, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 5–9, Shots inside box 3–8, Big chances 1–5, Corners 2–6, Saves 6–3, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 5–6, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Yes — both Al Ettifaq and Al Nassr scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Nassr to win 68%, it finished Al Nassr won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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