Ajax Amsterdam vs Shelbourne prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 19:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 19:00 UK
Ajax Amsterdam 40Draw 28Shelbourne 32
The call
68%
Ajax Amsterdam or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Ajax Amsterdam beat Shelbourne 3–1. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Ajax Amsterdam had 32 shots (11 on target) to Shelbourne's 3 (3), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 6.1 to 0.3.

Ajax…Full-time statsShelbourne
71%Possession29%
6.1Expected goals (xG)0.3
32Shots3
11Shots on target3
18Shots inside box2
9Big chances0
14Corners0
2Saves8
11Fouls4
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAjax Amsterdam 40%Ajax Amsterdam (40% called)
Total goals3.54
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callAjax Amsterdam or Draw 68%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Ajax Amsterdam to score84%
Shelbourne to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ajax Amsterdam vs Shelbourne?

Ajax Amsterdam beat Shelbourne 3–1. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Ajax Amsterdam had 32 shots (11 on target) to Shelbourne's 3 (3), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 6.1 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Ajax Amsterdam vs Shelbourne?

Ajax Amsterdam 3–1 Shelbourne, played on 06 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ajax Amsterdam 40%, the draw 28% and Shelbourne 32%.

What were the stats in Ajax Amsterdam vs Shelbourne?

Full-time: Possession 71%–29%, Expected goals (xG) 6.1–0.3, Shots 32–3, Shots on target 11–3, Shots inside box 18–2, Big chances 9–0, Corners 14–0, Saves 2–8, Fouls 11–4, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs Shelbourne?

Yes — both Ajax Amsterdam and Shelbourne scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Shelbourne right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Ajax Amsterdam 40%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Ajax Amsterdam or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Ajax Amsterdam form →Shelbourne form →