Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 12 Sept · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 12 Sept · 20:30 UK
43Académico de Viseu win27Draw30Vitória de Guimaraes win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Académico de Viseu beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–1. Académico de Viseu had 11 shots (4 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 22 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.

Académico de…Full-time statsVitória de…
46%Possession54%
1.8Expected goals (xG)2.1
11Shots22
4Shots on target7
9Shots inside box12
2Big chances3
4Corners8
6Saves2
14Fouls11
3Offsides1
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Académico de Viseu win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.2
2.7 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Académico de ViseuAcadémico de ViseuVitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes
1.5Goals1.2
Académico de ViseuAcadémico de ViseuVitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes
0.7Goals0.5
Académico de ViseuAcadémico de ViseuVitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes
0.8Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

What we said the chances were

Académico de Viseu to score78%
2 or more goals76%
3 goals or fewer71%
Vitória de Guimaraes to score71%
Goal before half-time70%

First half — what we expected

Académico de Viseu
48%
to score before half-time
Vitória de Guimaraes
42%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

League position

Vitória de Guimaraes in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Académico de Viseu form →Vitória de Guimaraes form →

Common questions

Who won Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Académico de Viseu beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–1. Académico de Viseu had 11 shots (4 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 22 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Académico de Viseu 2–1 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Académico de Viseu 43%, the draw 27% and Vitória de Guimaraes 30%.

What were the stats in Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–2.1, Shots 11–22, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 9–12, Big chances 2–3, Corners 4–8, Saves 6–2, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Yes — both Académico de Viseu and Vitória de Guimaraes scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.