Abha and Al Khaleej drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Khaleej at 86% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 10%. It forecast 3.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Abha had 15 shots (4 on target) to Al Khaleej's 8 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Abha and Al Khaleej drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Khaleej at 86% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 10%. It forecast 3.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Abha had 15 shots (4 on target) to Al Khaleej's 8 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.0.
Abha 1–1 Al Khaleej, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Abha 4%, the draw 10% and Al Khaleej 86%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.0, Shots 15–8, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 1–4, Corners 5–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 8–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Yes — both Abha and Al Khaleej scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Khaleej to win 86%, it finished Draw (10% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.