Abha vs Al Khaleej prediction — Saudi Pro League · Tue 25 Aug · 17:05 UK

Saudi Pro League · Tue 25 Aug · 17:05 UK
Abha 4Draw 10Al Khaleej 86
The call
86%
Al Khaleej to win
3.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals90%
Al Khaleej to score 2+84%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-2.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ABH 2 · D 0 · ALA 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2024Abha 2–1 Al Khaleej
Dec 2023Abha 1–2 Al Khaleej
Dec 2023Al Khaleej 3–1 Abha
May 2023Al Khaleej 3–1 Abha
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Common questions

Who will win Abha vs Al Khaleej?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Khaleej are favoured (86% win probability vs 4% for Abha, 10% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Abha vs Al Khaleej?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Abha 0-3 Al Khaleej (11.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.89.

How does Bawler predict Abha vs Al Khaleej?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Abha 4%, the draw 10% and Al Khaleej 86%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Abha vs Al Khaleej?

BTTS: No (55% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 0.64 and away expected goals 3.25.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Abha vs Al Khaleej?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.89. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Abha form →Al Khaleej form →