Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Uruguay prediction: Bawler's model rates Uruguay at 1.31 expected goals scored and 1.31 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. They have lost 1 of their last 5 settled matches. No Uruguay fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Uruguay sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.31 expected goals a game and conceding 1.31. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.80 goals a game against 1.31 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Uruguay have been correct 60% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Uruguay compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Uruguay fixture, it is right 3 out of 5 (60%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.