Bawler / World: World Cup / Argentina
Team profile · World: World Cup

Argentina Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
11 settled
Goals for
1.68
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.04
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
64%
7/11 calls

Argentina prediction: Bawler's model rates Argentina at 1.68 expected goals scored and 1.04 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 64% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Argentina fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Argentina are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.68 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.04. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.18 a game against 1.68 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Argentina have been correct 64% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
9W 1D 1L
Real goals
2.2 – 0.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Argentina compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.68
Above average
Goals against
1.04
Tighter than most
Scored1.68
Conceded1.04

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.68 xG per match · +0.35 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.04 xG per match · -0.34 vs league average of 1.38.

📊 Argentina in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.1
Goals · per game
let in 0.9
🏠 2.4✈️ 1.7
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 1.8
🏠 4.0✈️ 6.0
14.6
Shots · per game
faced 5.4
🏠 15.3✈️ 13.5
5.8
On target · per game
faced 1.6
🏠 6.7✈️ 4.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
19 Jul
0-1
@ Spain
🚩 -
15 Jul
2-1
@ England
🚩 6-1
12 Jul
3-1
vs Switzerland
🚩 -
07 Jul
3-2
vs Egypt
🚩 6-1
03 Jul
1-1
vs Cape Verde
🚩 5-2
28 Jun
3-1
@ Jordan
🚩 6-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Argentina matches
64%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Argentina fixture, it is right 7 out of 11 (64%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Argentina by market
Goals (Over/Under)56%5/9
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Argentina fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Argentina matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Argentina prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly