Bawler / World: World Cup / Iraq
Team profile · World: World Cup

Iraq Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.01
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.84
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
60%
3/5 calls

Iraq prediction: Bawler's model rates Iraq at 1.01 expected goals scored and 1.84 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. They have lost their last 4 settled matches. No Iraq fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Iraq are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.84 expected goals a game against a World Cup average of 1.38. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.40 goals a game against 1.01 expected. Recent form is poor — 4 defeats in a row. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Iraq have been correct 60% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 1D 4L
Real goals
0.4 – 2.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Iraq compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.01
Below average
Goals against
1.84
Leakier than most
Scored1.01
Conceded1.84

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.01 xG per match · -0.31 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.84 xG per match · +0.46 vs league average of 1.38.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Iraq fixtures (3/4).
4-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

📊 Iraq in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.3
Goals · per game
let in 3.3
🏠 1.0✈️ 0.0
2.0
Corners · per game
give up 6.5
✈️ 2.0
4.0
Shots · per game
faced 17.5
✈️ 4.0
0.5
On target · per game
faced 6.5
✈️ 0.5
🗓️ Last 3 games
26 Jun
0-5
@ Senegal
🚩 3-12
22 Jun
0-1
@ France
🚩 1-1
16 Jun
1-4
vs Norway
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Iraq matches
60%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Iraq fixture, it is right 3 out of 5 (60%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Iraq prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly