Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 18:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 18:00 UK
Zalgiris Vilnius 40Draw 28Hajduk Split 32
The call
68%
Zalgiris Vilnius or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–5

How it finished

Hajduk Split beat Zalgiris Vilnius 5–2. Bawler's model favoured Zalgiris Vilnius at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hajduk Split 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 7. Zalgiris Vilnius had 10 shots (5 on target) to Hajduk Split's 21 (8), with 47% of the ball against 53%.

Zalgiris…Full-time statsHajduk Split
47%Possession53%
10Shots21
5Shots on target8
2Corners5
14Fouls20
2Offsides4
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultZalgiris Vilnius 40%Hajduk Split (32% called)
Total goals2.57
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callZalgiris Vilnius or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Zalgiris Vilnius to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Hajduk Split to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split?

Hajduk Split beat Zalgiris Vilnius 5–2. Bawler's model favoured Zalgiris Vilnius at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hajduk Split 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 7. Zalgiris Vilnius had 10 shots (5 on target) to Hajduk Split's 21 (8), with 47% of the ball against 53%.

What was the final score in Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2–5 Hajduk Split, played on 06 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Zalgiris Vilnius 40%, the draw 28% and Hajduk Split 32%.

What were the stats in Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Shots 10–21, Shots on target 5–8, Corners 2–5, Fouls 14–20, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split?

Yes — both Zalgiris Vilnius and Hajduk Split scored, finishing 2–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Zalgiris Vilnius 40%, it finished Hajduk Split (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Zalgiris Vilnius
Next up
13 AugAHajduk Split0–4 L
All fixtures & results →Zalgiris Vilnius form →Hajduk Split form →