What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Bawler's model rates this match: Iran are favoured (55% win probability vs 23% for Uzbekistan, 21% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Iran?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Uzbekistan 1-2 Iran (9.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.67.
How does Bawler predict Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Uzbekistan 23%, the draw 21% and Iran 55%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
BTTS: Yes (68% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.43 and away expected goals 2.24.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.67. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).