How it finished
Uzbekistan beat Iran 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Iran at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Uzbekistan 24%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Uzbekistan had 7 shots (7 on target) to Iran's 3 (1), with 48% of the ball against 52%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Uzbekistan beat Iran 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Iran at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Uzbekistan 24%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Uzbekistan had 7 shots (7 on target) to Iran's 3 (1), with 48% of the ball against 52%.
What was the final score in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Uzbekistan 3–1 Iran, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Uzbekistan 24%, the draw 22% and Iran 54%.
What were the stats in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Shots 7–3, Shots on target 7–1, Corners 3–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Yes — both Uzbekistan and Iran scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Uzbekistan vs Iran right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Iran or draw 76%, it finished Uzbekistan won (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 68%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 88%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Iran to win 54%, it finished Missed.