FT · World: International Friendly · Tuesday, 06 October 2026

South Korea 2–0 UzbekistanMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 06 October 2026

South Korea
2–0
South Korea win
Uzbekistan

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was South Korea or draw at 79%. Bawler had South Korea at 55%, the draw at 24% and Uzbekistan at 21%. The match finished 2–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

South Korea win
55%
Result
Draw
24%
Uzbekistan win
21%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.9 – 1.1
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 0.7
From the match itself

The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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