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FT · Europe: UEFA Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026

Türkiye 1–2 BelgiumMatch recap · Thursday, 12 November 2026

Türkiye
1–2
Belgium win
Belgium

Pre-match probability vs result

Türkiye win
11%
Draw
18%
Belgium win
71%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
0.8 – 2.3
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.

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