TBD Home v Nashville SC prediction
Nashville SC go into this MLS match as strong favourites on our numbers: 76% to win, against 9% for TBD Home and 15% for a draw. Our predicted score is TBD Home 0–2 Nashville SC, at 11%. TBD Home are expected to score 0.8 goals and Nashville SC 2.7, 3.5 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (53%) and three or more goals is 69%.
Nashville SC have four wins, two draws and no defeats from their last six games, and won the most recent.
Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC) is the player we expect to shoot most, with 2.8 shots if they start. Sam Surridge (Nashville SC) leads for shots on target, at 1.4. Shak Mohammed of Nashville SC is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
More chances
Nashville SC · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Nashville SC to win is 76% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025–2026, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
MLS table →Common questions
Who will win TBD Home vs Nashville SC?
Bawler's model rates this match: Nashville SC are favoured (76% win probability vs 9% for TBD Home, 15% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for TBD Home vs Nashville SC?
Bawler's predicted score is TBD Home 0-2 Nashville SC: the most likely score if Nashville SC win, which is the likeliest result (76%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.6%. Expected total goals: 3.5.
How does Bawler predict TBD Home vs Nashville SC?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives TBD Home 9%, the draw 15% and Nashville SC 76%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in TBD Home vs Nashville SC?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on TBD Home expecting 0.83 goals and Nashville SC 2.71.
Over or under 2.5 goals in TBD Home vs Nashville SC?
Bawler's model expects 3.5 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 69%.
When are the TBD Home v Nashville SC line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.