St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjælland prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK
St. Gallen 46Draw 23FC Nordsjælland 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
St. Gallen or draw
Missed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–3
Both teams score (before kick-off)
69%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
69%

How it finished

FC Nordsjælland beat St. Gallen 3–2. Bawler's model favoured St. Gallen at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Nordsjælland 31%. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. St. Gallen had 21 shots (6 on target) to FC Nordsjælland's 16 (5), with 43% of the ball against 57%.

St. GallenFull-time statsNordsjælland
43%Possession57%
21Shots16
6Shots on target5
2Corners5
2Saves4
13Fouls12
2Offsides2
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSt. Gallen or draw 69%FC Nordsjælland won (31% called)
Total goals3.65
Both teams to score69%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 87%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

St. GallenFC Nordsjælland
2.0
Goals+0.4
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals87%
St. Gallen to score86%
FC Nordsjælland to score80%
Over 2.5 goals69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
FC Nordsjælland in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjælland?

FC Nordsjælland beat St. Gallen 3–2. Bawler's model favoured St. Gallen at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Nordsjælland 31%. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. St. Gallen had 21 shots (6 on target) to FC Nordsjælland's 16 (5), with 43% of the ball against 57%.

What was the final score in St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjælland?

St. Gallen 2–3 FC Nordsjælland, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with St. Gallen 46%, the draw 23% and FC Nordsjælland 31%.

What were the stats in St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjælland?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Shots 21–16, Shots on target 6–5, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjælland?

Yes — both St. Gallen and FC Nordsjælland scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 69% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for St. Gallen vs FC Nordsjælland right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said St. Gallen or draw 69%, it finished FC Nordsjælland won (31% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 69%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

St. Gallen
Before this
20 AugAFC Nordsjælland0–1 L
All fixtures & results →St. Gallen form →FC Nordsjælland form →