Pre-match, Bawler had FC Nordsjælland at 48%, draw at 23%, St. Gallen at 29%. The match ended 1-0 — confirming the model's lean toward FC Nordsjælland.
Match underperformed xG by 2.4 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.