FT · World: International Friendly · Monday, 28 September 2026

South Korea 1–4 UruguayMatch recap · Monday, 28 September 2026

South Korea
1–4
Uruguay win
Uruguay

Pre-match probability vs result

South Korea win
48%
Draw
28%
Uruguay win
24%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.4 – 1.0
Total 2.4
Actual
1 – 4
Total 5 (+2.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.2
From the match itself

The match produced 2.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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