FT · World: International Friendly · Thursday, 24 September 2026

South Korea 3–0 EcuadorMatch recap · Thursday, 24 September 2026

South Korea
3–0
South Korea win
Ecuador

Pre-match probability vs result

South Korea win
28%
Result
Draw
31%
Ecuador win
41%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.0 – 1.2
Total 2.2
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 0.4
From the match itself

The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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