FT · Spain: La Liga · Monday, 26 October 2026
Sevilla 2–0 OsasunaMatch recap · Monday, 26 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sevilla win
40%
Result
Draw
28%
Osasuna win
32%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.