How it finished
FC Midtjylland beat Rijeka 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Midtjylland in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Rijeka had 9 shots (4 on target) to FC Midtjylland's 19 (8), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 65%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
FC Midtjylland beat Rijeka 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Midtjylland in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Rijeka had 9 shots (4 on target) to FC Midtjylland's 19 (8), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.0.
What was the final score in Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
Rijeka 1–4 FC Midtjylland, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rijeka 24%, the draw 26% and FC Midtjylland 50%.
What were the stats in Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.0, Shots 9–19, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?
Yes — both Rijeka and FC Midtjylland scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Midtjylland 50%, it finished FC Midtjylland (50% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.