Match prediction·EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification·Wednesday 12 Aug, 16:00 UTC

Rapid Vienna vs Paide Linnameeskond

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
40.0% home28.0% draw32.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Rapid ViennastepPaide Linnameeskond
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Rapid Vienna average 2.7 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Under 3.5 goals
81%
Rapid Vienna or Draw
68%
Rapid Vienna Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Rapid Vienna vs Paide Linnameeskond — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, Rapid Vienna have won 1, Paide Linnameeskond have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Paide Linnameeskond 14 Rapid ViennaEUROPE: Conference League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Rapid Vienna 40% · draw 28% · Paide Linnameeskond 32%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Rapid Vienna 20 Paide Linnameeskond
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.