FT · England: Championship · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Portsmouth 3–1 Swansea CityMatch recap · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Over 22.5 Total Shots✗
Over 7.5 Total Corners✓
Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Portsmouth win
39%
Result
Draw
29%
Swansea City win
33%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.2
Total 2.5
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.