FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Portsmouth 1–2 Stoke CityMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Portsmouth or Draw✗
Portsmouth Over 13.5 Shots✗
Portsmouth Over 1.5 Shots on Target✓
Portsmouth Over 3.5 Corners✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Portsmouth win
47%
Draw
27%
Stoke City win
25%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.0
Total 2.5
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.5 of our 2.5.