PAOK vs Anderlecht prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 18:45 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 18:45 UK
PAOK 40Draw 28Anderlecht 32
The call
68%
PAOK or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Anderlecht beat PAOK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured PAOK at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Anderlecht 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. PAOK had 16 shots (2 on target) to Anderlecht's 4 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%.

PAOKFull-time statsAnderlecht
68%Possession32%
16Shots4
2Shots on target2
5Corners1
15Fouls23
3Offsides3
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPAOK 40%Anderlecht (32% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callPAOK or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
PAOK to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Anderlecht to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won PAOK vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht beat PAOK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured PAOK at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Anderlecht 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. PAOK had 16 shots (2 on target) to Anderlecht's 4 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%.

What was the final score in PAOK vs Anderlecht?

PAOK 0–1 Anderlecht, played on 06 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with PAOK 40%, the draw 28% and Anderlecht 32%.

What were the stats in PAOK vs Anderlecht?

Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Shots 16–4, Shots on target 2–2, Corners 5–1, Fouls 15–23, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in PAOK vs Anderlecht?

No. It finished 0–1, so PAOK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for PAOK vs Anderlecht right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said PAOK 40%, it finished Anderlecht (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said PAOK or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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